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Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

预测概率 97.8%24h 成交 $5.9K总成交 $46.5K选项 15结束 2026-11-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
10月19日October 1997.8%$50
10月20日October 2097.5%$0
10月17日October 1797.2%$0
10月21日October 2197.2%$0
10月22日October 2296.5%$0
10月23日October 2396.0%$719
10月29日October 2995.5%$244
10月28日October 2895.0%$0

规则说明

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionall

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