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Polymarket 科学 · 实时概率排行
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40
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更新
2026-10-16 01:06 UTC
事件列表
US会确认外星人存在by...吗?
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
4.0% 24h $129.8K 2 个选项
Largest IPO——市值在2026年前会发生吗?
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
59.0% 24h $58.1K 73 个选项
Plague pandemic——2026年会发生吗?
Plague pandemic in 2026?
2.8% 24h $7.8K 1 个选项
OpenAI宣布another千禧年Prize solution by...?
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
51.5% 24h $6.5K 2 个选项
How many more千禧年大奖难题will AI solve——2026年会发生吗?
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
77.0% 24h $3.0K 6 个选项
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
66.5% 24h $2.7K 2 个选项
AI lab宣布another千禧年Prize solution by...?
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
66.5% 24h $1.3K 2 个选项
Measles cases——美国在2026年会发生吗?
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
99.7% 24h $1.3K 10 个选项
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among纽约市residents——2026年会发生吗?
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
42.0% 24h $1.1K 4 个选项
Another pneumonic plague案件——俄罗斯by...会发生吗?
Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?
2.8% 24h $869 2 个选项
New pandemic——2026年会发生吗?
New pandemic in 2026?
4.0% 24h $866 1 个选项
俄罗斯pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
4.1% 24h $843 1 个选项
Doge-1 Lunar Mission会推出by...吗?
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
65.5% 24h $767 3 个选项
Measles cases in美国——10月31日前会发生吗?
Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
99.9% 24h $720 7 个选项
SpaceX星舰Flight Test 15?
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
78.0% 24h $570 7 个选项
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
15.5% 24h $405 2 个选项
CMI declare千禧年Prize Problem solved会在___前发生吗?
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
35.5% 24h $355 3 个选项
Plague案件in US——12月31日前会发生吗?
Plague case in US by December 31?
7.5% 24h $132 1 个选项
How many SpaceX推出——2026年10月会发生吗?
How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?
88.0% 24h $121 5 个选项
Human moon landing——2026年会发生吗?
Human moon landing in 2026?
1.6% 24h $120 1 个选项
Anthropic宣布千禧年Prize solution by...?
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?
38.5% 24h $41 2 个选项
Which math problems will AI solve——2026年会发生吗?
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?
21.5% 24h $26 14 个选项
How many SpaceX推出——2026年会发生吗?
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
78.2% 24h $22 6 个选项
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
2.6% 24h $20 1 个选项
OpenAI vs Anthropic: First to another千禧年Prize?
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?
60.0% 24h $10 1 个选项
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution——2026年会发生吗?
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
7.0% 24h $8 1 个选项
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
66.5% 24h $2 3 个选项
Plague declared public health emergency by...?
Plague declared public health emergency by...?
4.7% 24h $0 2 个选项
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution——2026年会发生吗?
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
7.0% 24h $0 1 个选项
Which千禧年Prize Problem will AI solve下一任?
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
31.5% 24h $0 6 个选项
CMI declare Navier-Stokes problem solved会在___前发生吗?
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?
30.5% 24h $0 3 个选项
Trump Space Academy begins training——2027年6月30日前会发生吗?
Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?
10.5% 24h $0 1 个选项
Merck & Moderna并购/收购宣布——2026年会发生吗?
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
3.8% 24h $0 1 个选项
Further substantive progress on Riemann Hypothesis——___前会发生吗?
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
8.5% 24h $0 2 个选项
CMI declare Riemann Hypothesis solved会在___前发生吗?
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
10.5% 24h $0 2 个选项
Chopsticks catch星舰upper stage by...?
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?
6.5% 24h $0 1 个选项
SpaceX星舰fully reusable——2028年前会发生吗?
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
76.5% 24h $0 1 个选项
Rocket Lab的Neutron Rocket发布——12月31日前会发生吗?
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
2.1% 24h $0 1 个选项
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO市值?
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
74.8% 24h $0 1 个选项
New Coronavirus Pandemic——2026年会发生吗?
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
2.5% 24h $0 1 个选项
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