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美联储利率决议(1月)

美联储利率决议(1月)Fed Decision in January?

预测概率 57.5%24h 成交 $14.5K总成交 $505.3K选项 5结束 2027-01-28

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
维持不变No change57.5%$6.0K
25个基点上升25 bps increase35.5%$2.4K
25个基点下降25 bps decrease1.8%$57
50+个基点上升50+ bps increase1.4%$254
50+个基点下降50+ bps decrease0.5%$5.8K

规则说明

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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