P
Polymarket 中文行情工作台
下一任法国的总统大选

下一任法国的总统大选Next French Presidential Election

预测概率 47.5%24h 成交 $805.5K总成交 $151.66M选项 128结束 2027-04-19

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
玛丽娜·勒庞Marine Le Pen47.5%$208.0K
Édouard Philippe19.5%$23.3K
David Lisnard11.8%$17.7K
Jean-Luc Mélenchon11.5%$20.5K
Raphaël Glucksmann2.2%$71.1K
François Hollande1.8%$50.1K
Gabriel Attal1.6%$28.5K
Bruno Retailleau1.1%$73.0K

规则说明

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

相关事件(全部)

英雄联盟:FURIA电子竞技vs MVK电子竞技(BO5) - Worlds Play-In · Seahawks vs Broncos · 美联储利率决议(10月) · 巴西总统大选 · 职业足球: 2027年冠军 · 埃隆·马斯克# tweets 10月9日- 2026年10月16日? · 金球奖获胜者2026 · 比特币会在10月触及什么价位? · Which party will win House——2026年会发生吗? · 总统大选获胜者2028

→ 查看全部的全部事件

浏览更多事件

全部 · 政治 · 选举 · 经济 · 加密货币 · 科技 · 地缘政治 · 体育 · 文化娱乐 · 科学

→ 在工作台查看 下一任法国的总统大选 的实时盘口与成交