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Polymarket 中文市场预测工作台
金球奖Top 3 Finish 2026

金球奖Top 3 Finish 2026Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

预测概率 97.4%24h 成交 $46.3K总成交 $577.1K选项 19结束 2027-01-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
Harry Kane97.4%$24.2K
拉明·亚马尔Lamine Yamal85.7%$2.7K
基利安·姆巴佩Kylian Mbappé81.5%$6.8K
Lionel Messi19.5%$2.8K
Rodri10.5%$1.7K
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia6.3%$1.9K
Fabian Ruiz4.5%$50
Ousmane Dembélé4.5%$4.5K

规则说明

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 3 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve "No." If more than 3 players tie for the top 3 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official top 3 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final three places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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