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下一任德国总理——2028年前会发生吗?

下一任德国总理——2028年前会发生吗?Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

预测概率 50.0%24h 成交 $25.0K总成交 $107.9K选项 66结束 2028-01-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
No下一任总理2028年之前No Next Chancellor before 202850.0%$24.6K
Person AA50.0%$0
Person AB50.0%$0
Person AC50.0%$0
Person AD50.0%$0
Person AE50.0%$0
Person AF50.0%$0
Person AG50.0%$0

规则说明

Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025. This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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