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塞尔维亚Parliamentary选举获胜者

塞尔维亚Parliamentary选举获胜者Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

预测概率 61.5%24h 成交 $13.0K总成交 $1.22M选项 37结束 2026-10-25

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
Aleksandar Vučić – United塞尔维亚Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia61.5%$11.2K
List A50.0%$0
List B50.0%$0
List C50.0%$0
List D50.0%$0
List E50.0%$0
List F50.0%$0
List G50.0%$0

规则说明

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).

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