Fed降息by...？Fed rate cut by...?
各选项实时概率
| 选项 | 英文原名 | 概率 | 24h 成交 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027年7月会议 | July 2027 Meeting | 51.0% | $0 |
| 2027年6月会议 | June 2027 Meeting | 36.0% | $0 |
| 2027年4月会议 | April 2027 Meeting | 32.5% | $0 |
| 2027年3月会议 | March 2027 Meeting | 15.5% | $58 |
| 2027年1月会议 | January 2027 Meeting | 4.2% | $201 |
| 2026年12月会议 | December 2026 Meeting | 2.9% | $342 |
| 2026年10月会议 | October 2026 Meeting | 0.5% | $3.6K |
规则说明
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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