P
Polymarket 中文行情工作台
Fed决议(10月-1月)

Fed决议(10月-1月)Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

预测概率 40.5%24h 成交 $2.5K总成交 $47.8K选项 9结束 2027-01-27

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
暂停-加息-暂停Pause-Hike-Pause40.5%$1.8K
暂停-加息-加息Pause-Hike-Hike26.0%$169
加息-加息-暂停Hike-Hike-Pause7.5%$140
暂停-暂停-暂停Pause-Pause-Pause6.0%$40
加息-加息-加息Hike-Hike-Hike5.3%$60
加息-暂停-暂停Hike-Pause-Pause3.1%$60
加息-暂停-加息Hike-Pause-Hike3.0%$60
其他Other1.9%$85

规则说明

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: October 27 to 28; December 8 to 9; and January 26 to 27. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

相关事件(经济)

美联储利率决议(10月) · 最大企业end of 2026年12月? · 霍尔木兹海峡的交通在12月31日之前恢复正常? · How many美联储降息——2026年会发生吗? · 美联储利率决议(12月) · 最大企业end of 2026年10月? · Another Fed加息——2026年会发生吗? · How low will 10-year国债收益率get——2027年前会发生吗? · How high will 10-year国债收益率go——2027年前会发生吗? · 银行的以色列决议——10月会发生吗?

→ 查看经济的全部事件

浏览更多事件

全部 · 政治 · 选举 · 经济 · 加密货币 · 科技 · 地缘政治 · 体育 · 文化娱乐 · 科学

→ 在工作台查看 Fed决议(10月-1月) 的实时盘口与成交