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巴西总统大选第二轮: 1st Place in Amapá

巴西总统大选第二轮: 1st Place in AmapáBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

预测概率 78.5%24h 成交 $40.8K总成交 $95.2K选项 8结束 2026-10-26

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
Flavio Bolsonaro78.5%$18.3K
其他Other50.0%$0
卢拉Lula21.5%$22.6K

规则说明

The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from Amapá. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

相关事件(选举)

下一任法国的总统大选 · Which party will win House——2026年会发生吗? · 总统大选获胜者2028 · 权力格局: 2026中期选举 · Who wins参议院pending Hormuz协议——中期选举前会发生吗? · 共和党人总统提名人2028 · 民主党总统提名人2028 · 以色列总理下一任选举之后? · 巴西总统大选第二轮:优势的Victory · Who wins参议院pending Hormuz协议——10月23前会发生吗?

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