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以色列的Legislative选举: 3rd Place

以色列的Legislative选举: 3rd PlaceIsraeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

预测概率 76.5%24h 成交 $15.2K总成交 $64.7K选项 39结束 2026-10-28

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
Together76.5%$10.1K
其他Other50.0%$0
民主党The Democrats17.5%$811
Otzma Yehudit2.4%$816
United Torah Judaism2.1%$588
Yashar1.8%$85
Likud1.6%$728
Yisrael Beiteinu1.5%$443

规则说明

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

相关事件(选举)

下一任法国的总统大选 · Which party will win House——2026年会发生吗? · 总统大选获胜者2028 · 权力格局: 2026中期选举 · Who wins参议院pending Hormuz协议——中期选举前会发生吗? · 共和党人总统提名人2028 · 民主党总统提名人2028 · 以色列总理下一任选举之后? · 巴西总统大选第二轮:优势的Victory · Who wins参议院pending Hormuz协议——10月23前会发生吗?

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