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Spain General选举获胜者

Spain General选举获胜者Spain General Election Winner

预测概率 75.5%24h 成交 $33.4K总成交 $164.8K选项 33结束 2026-11-30

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
PP75.5%$10.0K
Party AA50.0%$0
Party AB50.0%$0
Party AC50.0%$0
Party AD50.0%$0
其他Other50.0%$0
PSOE24.0%$22.5K
Vox0.5%$330

规则说明

Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. Parties will be ranked by the number of seats won by their electoral lists (candidaturas) nationwide in this election, attributed as set out below. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by their lists nationwide, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows: PSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia. PP: lists of the People’s Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre. Broad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromí

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