Plague pandemic——2026年会发生吗?Plague pandemic in 2026?
预测概率 2.8%24h 成交 $7.8K总成交 $413.8K选项 1结束 2027-01-01
各选项实时概率
选项
英文原名
概率
24h 成交
是
Yes
2.8%
$7.8K
否
No
97.2%
$7.8K
规则说明
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the disease or outbreak as a "pandemic". A Public Health Emergency of International Concern alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.