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Polymarket 中文行情工作台
Plague pandemic——2026年会发生吗?

Plague pandemic——2026年会发生吗?Plague pandemic in 2026?

预测概率 2.8%24h 成交 $7.8K总成交 $413.8K选项 1结束 2027-01-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
是Yes2.8%$7.8K
否No97.2%$7.8K

规则说明

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the disease or outbreak as a "pandemic". A Public Health Emergency of International Concern alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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