Which math problems will AI solve——2026年会发生吗?Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?
预测概率 21.5%24h 成交 $26总成交 $60.5K选项 14结束 2027-01-01
各选项实时概率
选项
英文原名
概率
24h 成交
Birch和Swinnerton-Dyer
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
21.5%
$20
Hodge Conjecture
21.0%
$6
Ramsey Number R(5,5)
18.5%
$0
Hadamard Matrix Conjecture
16.5%
$0
Hadwiger-Nelson Problem
14.5%
$0
Beal的Conjecture
Beal's Conjecture
13.5%
$0
Twin Prime Conjecture
8.5%
$0
Strong Goldbach Conjecture
8.0%
$0
规则说明
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.c