Who wins参议院pending Hormuz协议和石油会低于$80中期选举之前吗？（Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?）

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选项	英文原名	概率	24h 成交
No协议or石油≥ $80; D参议院	No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate	58.4%	$632
No协议or石油≥ $80; R参议院	No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate	33.1%	$204
协议+石油< $80; D参议院	Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate	4.4%	$8.8K
协议+石油< $80; R参议院	Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate	3.6%	$7.2K

Who wins参议院pending Hormuz协议和石油会低于$80中期选举之前吗？Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?