P
Polymarket 中文市场预测工作台
GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond首次亮相?

GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond首次亮相?GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?

预测概率 88.5%24h 成交 $15.7K总成交 $36.0K选项 4结束 2027-07-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
55%+88.5%$7.4K
60%+84.5%$4.3K
65%+43.0%$3.5K
70%+9.5%$530

规则说明

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next OpenAI GPT Astra model (6.1+) added to the Humanity's Last Exam results at https://agi.safe.ai/ has an HLE-Diamond Accuracy of at least the specified percentage at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the site. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. The percentage displayed as "HLE-Diamond Accuracy" for the model in its result card on the "AI Progress on HLE-Diamond" chart at https://agi.safe.ai/ will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the HLE-Diamond Accuracy, regardless of the model's Calibration Error, chart position, other configuration scores, any note that a score was computed on a sample of questions, or any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere. If the Center for AI Safety (CAIS), which maintains the off

相关事件(科技)

Anthropic宣布破产by...? · 印第安纳州enacts数据中心暂停令by...? · 下一任Fable模型(5.2+)发布于...? · Which公司has best AI模型end of 10月? · 最大企业end of 2026年12月? · 最大企业end of 2026年10月? · 下一任Fable模型(5.2+)发布on...? · Which公司has best AI模型end of 2026? · OpenAI宣布another千禧年Prize solution by...? · 下一任OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+)发布于...?

→ 查看科技的全部事件

浏览更多事件

全部 · 政治 · 选举 · 经济 · 加密货币 · 科技 · 地缘政治 · 体育 · 文化娱乐 · 科学

→ 在工作台查看 GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond首次亮相? 的实时盘口与成交