特斯拉和SpaceX并购officially宣布by...?Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
预测概率 63.5%24h 成交 $9.6K总成交 $1.36M选项 5结束 2028-01-01
各选项实时概率
选项
英文原名
概率
24h 成交
2027年12月31日
December 31, 2027
63.5%
$574
2027年6月30日
June 30, 2027
44.0%
$175
2027年2月28日
February 28, 2027
32.5%
$838
2027年1月31日
January 31, 2027
29.5%
$804
2026年12月31日
December 31, 2026
26.5%
$7.2K
规则说明
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.