P
Polymarket 中文市场预测工作台
法国United Left Primary获胜者

法国United Left Primary获胜者France United Left Primary Winner

预测概率 96.9%24h 成交 $17.7K总成交 $263.2K选项 25结束 2026-10-12

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
Canceled96.9%$13.0K
Clémentine Autain0.8%$947
François Ruffin0.4%$827
Marine Tondelier0.3%$1.1K
Lydie Massard0.2%$1.1K
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy0.2%$852
其他Other--$0
Placeholder C--$0

规则说明

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

相关事件(选举)

以色列总理下一任选举之后? · 下一任法国的总统大选 · 巴西总统大选第二轮:优势的Victory · 权力格局: 2026中期选举 · 总统大选获胜者2028 · Which party will win House——2026年会发生吗? · Which party will win参议院——2026年会发生吗? · 共和党人总统提名人2028 · 民主党总统提名人2028 · Michigan参议院选举获胜者

→ 查看选举的全部事件

浏览更多事件

全部 · 政治 · 选举 · 经济 · 加密货币 · 科技 · 地缘政治 · 体育 · 文化娱乐 · 科学

→ 在工作台查看 法国United Left Primary获胜者 的实时盘口与成交