P
Polymarket 中文行情工作台
美联储利率决议(10月)

美联储利率决议(10月)Fed Decision in October?

预测概率 70.5%24h 成交 $2.44M总成交 $42.27M选项 5结束 2026-10-29

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
维持不变No change70.5%$998.9K
25个基点上升25 bps increase27.5%$436.6K
25个基点下降25 bps decrease0.4%$222.4K
50+个基点上升50+ bps increase0.4%$436.8K
50+个基点下降50+ bps decrease0.1%$343.8K

规则说明

美联储利率在该市场中由目标联邦基金范围的上限定义。有关目标联邦基金范围的决定由联邦公开市场委员会( FOMC )会议做出。 该市场将解决目标联邦基金利率上限相对于美联储2026年10月会议之前的水平变化的基点数量。 如果目标联邦基金利率更改为未在显示的选项中表示的水平,则该变化将四舍五入到最接近的25 ,并将解析为相关括号。(例如,如果削减/增加12.5个基点,则将被视为25个基点) 根据官方日历,该市场的决议来源是联邦公开市场委员会在2026年10月27日至28日举行的会议后的声明: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm。 目标联邦基金利率的水平和变化也在美联储官方网站https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm上公布。 一旦联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)就其10月份会议发表声明并提供相关数据,该市场可能会尽快解决。如果在下一次预定会议的结束日期之前没有发布任何声明,则此市场将解析为“无变化”括号。
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

相关事件(全部)

英雄联盟:FURIA电子竞技vs MVK电子竞技(BO5) - Worlds Play-In · Seahawks vs Broncos · 巴西总统大选 · 职业足球: 2027年冠军 · 埃隆·马斯克# tweets 10月9日- 2026年10月16日? · 金球奖获胜者2026 · 比特币会在10月触及什么价位? · 下一任法国的总统大选 · Which party will win House——2026年会发生吗? · 总统大选获胜者2028

→ 查看全部的全部事件

浏览更多事件

全部 · 政治 · 选举 · 经济 · 加密货币 · 科技 · 地缘政治 · 体育 · 文化娱乐 · 科学

→ 在工作台查看 美联储利率决议(10月) 的实时盘口与成交