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US宣布end的Iranian blockade by...?

US宣布end的Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

预测概率 58.5%24h 成交 $488.5K总成交 $40.51M选项 5结束 2027-01-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
3月31日March 3158.5%$5.4K
12月31日December 3134.9%$151.8K
11月30日November 3022.0%$23.4K
10月31日October 315.5%$134.6K
10月15日October 150.1%$173.2K

规则说明

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees). An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the end or suspension of the blockade. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an end to the block

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