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以色列选举happen as scheduled?

以色列选举happen as scheduled?Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

预测概率 95.2%24h 成交 $13.2K总成交 $87.2K选项 1结束 2026-10-28

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
是Yes95.2%$13.2K
否No4.8%$13.2K

规则说明

This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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