加密货币Market Structure legislation becomes law——2026年会发生吗?Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
预测概率 14.1%24h 成交 $6.8K总成交 $38.7K选项 1结束 2027-01-01
各选项实时概率
选项
英文原名
概率
24h 成交
是
Yes
14.1%
$6.8K
否
No
86.0%
$6.8K
规则说明
This market will resolve to “Yes” if crypto market structure legislation is enacted into U.S. federal law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
"Crypto market structure legislation" refers to any legislation that does all of the following:
1. Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (not solely for stablecoins);
2. Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets;
3. Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.
Examples of qualifying legislation include the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025" (H.R.3633) and "The Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act" (FIT21).
The following would not qualify:
- Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure;
- Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework;
- Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs);
- Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities;
- Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions;
- Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules;
- The GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation);
- The Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-s