Merck & Moderna并购/收购宣布——2026年会发生吗?Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
预测概率 3.8%24h 成交 $0总成交 $723选项 1结束 2027-01-01
各选项实时概率
选项
英文原名
概率
24h 成交
是
Yes
3.8%
$0
否
No
96.2%
$0
规则说明
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Merck & Co. (MRK) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Moderna (MRNA), or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying merger or acquisition must encompass both MRK and MRNA or their subsidiaries.
An announcement by MRK or MRNA within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
A bid or offer announcement without the indication of a settled agreement will not qualify.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company announces the acquisition of a controlling interest in the other company. A "controlling interest" refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from MRK and MRNA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.