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Fed决议(9月–12月)

Fed决议(9月–12月)Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

预测概率 60.5%24h 成交 $15.5K总成交 $350.1K选项 5结束 2026-12-09

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
加息–暂停–加息Hike–Pause–Hike60.5%$638
加息–加息–加息Hike–Hike–Hike19.5%$3.3K
加息–加息–暂停Hike–Hike–Pause10.7%$1.1K
加息–暂停–暂停Hike–Pause–Pause10.0%$10.2K
其他Other1.6%$262

规则说明

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

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