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Polymarket 中文市场预测工作台
Anthropic lab leak by...?

Anthropic lab leak by...?Anthropic lab leak by...?

预测概率 7.0%24h 成交 $4.3K总成交 $161.3K选项 2结束 2027-07-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
2027年6月30日June 30, 20277.0%$404
2026年12月31日December 31, 20261.9%$3.9K

规则说明

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required. Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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