US原油reserves fall to __会在10月30日前发生吗?Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?
预测概率 35.5%24h 成交 $2.1K总成交 $35.5K选项 5结束 2026-11-12
各选项实时概率
选项
英文原名
概率
24h 成交
280M
35.5%
$319
270M
4.0%
$1.3K
240M
1.1%
$0
250M
0.7%
$174
260M
0.7%
$344
规则说明
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value after market creation for any week ending on or before October 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before October 30, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on October 30, 2026, by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.