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Polymarket 中文行情工作台
下一任Gemini Pro模型发布on...?

下一任Gemini Pro模型发布on...?Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

预测概率 91.5%24h 成交 $4.3K总成交 $116.4K选项 17结束 2026-10-31

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
No发布在10月31日前No release by October 3191.5%$4.3K
10月20日October 203.6%$0
10月27日October 271.1%$6
10月23日October 231.1%$0
10月17日October 171.0%$0
10月30日October 300.9%$0
10月21日October 210.5%$0
10月18日October 180.4%$0

规则说明

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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