EU emergency diesel stocks end of 2026年10月?EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?
预测概率 96.3%24h 成交 $2.0K总成交 $42.5K选项 8结束 2026-11-01
各选项实时概率
选项
英文原名
概率
24h 成交
30M+
96.3%
$30
31M+
91.5%
$110
32M+
88.5%
$230
33M+
87.5%
$255
34M+
73.5%
$480
35M+
56.5%
$809
36M+
17.5%
$77
37M+
3.5%
$0
规则说明
On October 1, 2026, Reuters reported that the United States had told France and Germany to release emergency diesel stocks or face a potential US diesel export ban, as Washington presses European countries to draw down their reserves to ease surging diesel prices. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-tells-france-germany-release-diesel-stocks-or-face-us-export-ban-sources-say-2026-10-01/
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eurostat publishes a figure for the European Union’s closing stock of EU emergency stocks of gas oil and diesel oil for the month of October 2026 that is greater than or equal to the specified value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant figure is the value in Eurostat’s “Oil products stock levels - monthly data” dataset (nrg_stk_oilm) for: Geopolitical entity “European Union - 27 countries (from 2020)”; Standard international energy product classification “Gas oil and diesel oil”; Stock or flow “Closing stock - EU emergency”; Unit “Thousand tonnes”; Time “2026-10”.
This market will resolve as soon as Eurostat first publishes a figure for October 2026. Revisions to that figure published afterward will not be considered unless in the case of obvious data integrity issues.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integ