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澳洲联储决议在12月

澳洲联储决议在12月Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December

预测概率 50.5%24h 成交 $2.3K总成交 $13.8K选项 5结束 2026-12-08

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
维持不变No change50.5%$1.5K
25个基点上升25 bps increase36.0%$445
50+个基点上升50+ bps increase3.5%$149
25个基点下降25 bps decrease2.6%$119
50+个基点下降50+ bps decrease0.6%$119

规则说明

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of Australia, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 7 and December 8, 2026, as listed on the official RBA calendar (https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/calendar/?topics=monetary-policy-board). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will inclu

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