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Who will发布Muse-like个人助理——2027年前会发生吗?

Who will发布Muse-like个人助理——2027年前会发生吗?Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

预测概率 88.5%24h 成交 $3.8K总成交 $50.9K选项 4结束 2027-01-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
Anthropic88.5%$2.4K
微软Microsoft31.5%$120
Perplexity11.0%$1.3K
亚马逊Amazon8.5%$22

规则说明

On September 8, 2026, Meta launched Muse, a personal AI agent that runs on a cloud computer dedicated to each user and carries out tasks, such as sending email and booking travel (https://about.fb.com/news/2026/09/introducing-muse-personal-ai-agent/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company launches a Muse-like personal agent by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Muse-like personal agent is an AI agent that runs on a cloud computer provided by the listed company that is dedicated to the individual user and remains assigned to that user between tasks, can begin tasks on its own, such as on a schedule or when a new email arrives, and can take actions on websites or in the user's connected accounts, such as sending email or submitting forms. Computing environments created for each task or session will not qualify. Products limited to a single type of task, such as coding, software development, email, or travel booking, offered only through an API, or sold only to businesses will not qualify. A Muse-like personal agent must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. Availability limited to paid subscription plans or to certain countries will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company, with additional verification from a consensus of credib

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