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Polymarket 中文市场预测工作台
#1 Free App——US苹果App Store在10月23日会发生吗?

#1 Free App——US苹果App Store在10月23日会发生吗?#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?

预测概率 79.5%24h 成交 $3.0K总成交 $2.8K选项 12结束 2026-10-23

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
Muse from Meta79.5%$844
Reserved app 250.0%$0
Reserved app 350.0%$0
Reserved app 450.0%$0
Reserved app 550.0%$0
其他Other50.0%$0
ChatGPT7.6%$436
Claude在Anthropic前Claude by Anthropic3.9%$1.1K

规则说明

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

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