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2026年12月31日前,Kim Jong Un会卸任朝鲜Supreme Leader吗?

2026年12月31日前,Kim Jong Un会卸任朝鲜Supreme Leader吗?Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

预测概率 11.2%24h 成交 $53.1K总成交 $250.7K选项 1结束 2027-01-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
是Yes11.2%$53.1K
否No88.8%$53.1K

规则说明

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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