P
Polymarket 中文市场预测工作台
Foreign intervention——Gaza by..会发生吗?

Foreign intervention——Gaza by..会发生吗?Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

预测概率 10.5%24h 成交 $17.6K总成交 $1.14M选项 1结束 2027-01-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
是Yes10.5%$17.6K
否No89.5%$17.6K

规则说明

This market will resolve to "Yes" if police officers, security forces, or military personnel belonging to neither Israel nor a Palestinian entity begin an officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operation on the ground within Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify. Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border. Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify. Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

相关事件(地缘政治)

北约x俄罗斯军方clash by...? · US-伊朗停火continues through...? · 俄罗斯x乌克兰any diplomatic会议by...? · 以色列总理下一任选举之后? · 以色列x伊朗停火continues through...? · 俄罗斯x乌克兰停火协议by...? · Putin会卸任俄罗斯by...总统吗? · 霍尔木兹海峡通行恢复正常——10月31日前会发生吗? · Kharg Island no longer会低于Iranian control by...吗? · Iranian政权fall会在2027年前发生吗?

→ 查看地缘政治的全部事件

浏览更多事件

全部 · 政治 · 选举 · 经济 · 加密货币 · 科技 · 地缘政治 · 体育 · 文化娱乐 · 科学

→ 在工作台查看 Foreign intervention——Gaza by..会发生吗? 的实时盘口与成交