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俄罗斯x乌克兰any diplomatic会议by...?

俄罗斯x乌克兰any diplomatic会议by...?Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

预测概率 76.0%24h 成交 $28.3K总成交 $584.1K选项 3结束 2027-01-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
12月31日December 3176.0%$2.6K
11月30日November 3054.5%$8.3K
10月31日October 3117.5%$9.3K

规则说明

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

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