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Trump out as总统——2027年前会发生吗?

Trump out as总统——2027年前会发生吗?Trump out as President before 2027?

预测概率 3.8%24h 成交 $81.4K总成交 $12.61M选项 1结束 2027-01-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
是Yes3.8%$81.4K
否No96.2%$81.4K

规则说明

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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