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日本央行决议——10月会发生吗?

日本央行决议——10月会发生吗?Bank of Japan Decision in October?

预测概率 95.7%24h 成交 $2.7K总成交 $224.9K选项 5结束 2026-10-30

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
维持不变No change95.7%$452
25个基点上升25 bps increase3.7%$1.7K
50+个基点上升50+ bps increase0.7%$544
50+个基点下降50+ bps decrease0.1%$0
25个基点下降25 bps decrease0.1%$0

规则说明

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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