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Iowa参议院选举优势的Victory

Iowa参议院选举优势的VictoryIowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

预测概率 50.0%24h 成交 $28.6K总成交 $60.8K选项 12结束 2026-11-04

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
其他Other50.0%$0
Hinson 0-3%33.0%$8.9K
Turek 0-3%29.0%$3.0K
Hinson 3-6%15.0%$2.4K
Turek 3-6%13.1%$1.9K
Turek 6-9%4.8%$2.1K
Hinson 6-9%3.0%$2.3K
Turek 12%+2.8%$1.6K

规则说明

The 2026 Iowa Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie

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