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Polymarket 中文市场预测工作台
Rio Grande do Norte州长选举获胜者

Rio Grande do Norte州长选举获胜者Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

预测概率 99.0%24h 成交 $43.0K总成交 $158.9K选项 26结束 2026-10-26

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
Cadu de卢拉Cadu de Lula99.0%$20.1K
Placeholder 150.0%$0
Placeholder 250.0%$0
Placeholder 350.0%$0
Placeholder 450.0%$0
Placeholder 550.0%$0
Placeholder 650.0%$0
Placeholder 750.0%$0

规则说明

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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