How low will 30-year国债收益率get——2027年前会发生吗？How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
各选项实时概率
| 选项 | 英文原名 | 概率 | 24h 成交 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below 5.20% | 45.0% | $2.9K | |
| Below 5.15% | 43.0% | $1.1K | |
| Below 5.10% | 34.5% | $1.2K | |
| Below 5.05% | 20.5% | $1.3K | |
| Below 4.95% | 16.5% | $5.5K | |
| Below 5.00% | 16.0% | $3.8K | |
| Below 4.90% | 14.5% | $3.2K | |
| Below 4.80% | 4.0% | $0 |
规则说明
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
相关事件（经济）
美联储利率决议（10月） · 最大企业end of 2026年12月？ · 霍尔木兹海峡的交通在12月31日之前恢复正常？ · How many美联储降息——2026年会发生吗？ · 美联储利率决议（12月） · 最大企业end of 2026年10月？ · Another Fed加息——2026年会发生吗？ · How low will 10-year国债收益率get——2027年前会发生吗？ · How high will 10-year国债收益率go——2027年前会发生吗？ · 银行的以色列决议——10月会发生吗？