加拿大央行决议——12月会发生吗?Bank of Canada Decision in December?
预测概率 60.0%24h 成交 $2.8K总成交 $44.3K选项 5结束 2026-12-09
各选项实时概率
选项
英文原名
概率
24h 成交
维持不变
No Change
60.0%
$1.2K
25个基点上升
25 bps increase
35.5%
$493
50+个基点下降
50+ bps decrease
1.1%
$437
50+个基点上升
50+ bps increase
1.0%
$350
25个基点下降
25 bps decrease
0.2%
$331
规则说明
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the December 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its December 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for December 9, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its December 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include po