P
Polymarket 中文市场预测工作台
银行的俄罗斯决议——12月会发生吗?

银行的俄罗斯决议——12月会发生吗?Bank of Russia decision in December?

预测概率 63.0%24h 成交 $6.1K总成交 $22.5K选项 5结束 2026-12-18

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
维持不变No change63.0%$4.0K
25个基点下降25 bps decrease24.5%$1.3K
50+个基点下降50+ bps decrease5.6%$211
25个基点上升25 bps increase3.0%$417
50+个基点上升50+ bps increase2.1%$182

规则说明

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the key rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Russia, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Russia, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar (https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Russia resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the ne

相关事件(经济)

美联储利率决议(10月) · 美联储利率决议(12月) · How low will 5-year国债收益率get——2027年前会发生吗? · How many美联储降息——2026年会发生吗? · 最大企业end of 2026年12月? · 最大企业end of 2026年10月? · Another Fed加息——2026年会发生吗? · How high will 10-year国债收益率go——2027年前会发生吗? · How low will 30-year国债收益率get——2027年前会发生吗? · Fed决议(9月–12月)

→ 查看经济的全部事件

浏览更多事件

全部 · 政治 · 选举 · 经济 · 加密货币 · 科技 · 地缘政治 · 体育 · 文化娱乐 · 科学

→ 在工作台查看 银行的俄罗斯决议——12月会发生吗? 的实时盘口与成交