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胡塞武装x沙特阿拉伯effective停火begins by...? (2 week暂停)

胡塞武装x沙特阿拉伯effective停火begins by...? (2 week暂停)Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

预测概率 11.3%24h 成交 $34.0K总成交 $74.7K选项 1结束 2027-01-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
是Yes11.3%$11.1K
否No88.6%$11.1K

规则说明

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period during which neither the Houthis nor Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against the other, following a qualifying military action (or market creation) that occurs on or before the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." Only qualifying military actions that occur after market creation count. The 14-day period starts on the calendar day (ET) after the most recent qualifying action, or on the date of market creation if none has occurred after market creation. The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day. Each new qualifying action restarts the count. This market resolves to "Yes" if such a full 14-day period is completed following either market creation or a qualifying action that occurred on or before the specified date (ET). A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike that is either initiated by the Houthis and directly impacts Saudi Arabia, or initiated by Saudi Arabia and directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursion

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