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Saudi-胡塞武装停火协议宣布by...?

Saudi-胡塞武装停火协议宣布by...?Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

预测概率 31.5%24h 成交 $35.5K总成交 $225.0K选项 2结束 2027-01-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
12月31日December 3131.5%$22.3K
10月31日October 313.5%$13.2K

规则说明

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a ceasefire agreement between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis. A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify. Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement. Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify. All listed countries/parties must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement for a Yes resolution. A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement. Separate announcements of individual policies wi

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