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伊朗leadership change by...?

伊朗leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by...?

预测概率 23.5%24h 成交 $140.7K总成交 $27.44M选项 4结束 2027-07-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
2027年6月30日June 30, 202723.5%$55.5K
12月31日December 3112.5%$41.2K
11月30日November 305.5%$29.1K
10月31日October 312.1%$14.9K

规则说明

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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