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Polymarket 中文市场预测工作台
巴西央行决议——12月会发生吗?

巴西央行决议——12月会发生吗?Bank of Brazil decision in December?

预测概率 54.5%24h 成交 $927总成交 $25.8K选项 5结束 2026-12-09

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
25个基点下降25 bps decrease54.5%$0
50+个基点下降50+ bps decrease25.5%$658
维持不变No Change16.0%$269
50+个基点上升50+ bps increase3.6%$0
25个基点上升25 bps increase2.6%$0

规则说明

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Incre

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