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胡塞武装军事行动针对沙特阿拉伯on...?

胡塞武装军事行动针对沙特阿拉伯on...?Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

预测概率 98.5%24h 成交 $48.9K总成交 $115.3K选项 24结束 2026-11-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
10月5日October 598.5%$0
10月8日October 895.1%$0
10月4日October 479.5%$61
10月16日October 1673.5%$41
10月17日October 1773.5%$96
10月19日October 1961.5%$0
10月18日October 1856.5%$0
10月23日October 2356.5%$0

规则说明

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis take a qualifying military action against Saudi Arabia on the specified date, Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, that directly impacts Saudi Arabia. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Saudi Arabia do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred. “Saudi Arabia” refers to the terrestrial territory of Saudi Arabia, including its internal waters. Saudi Arabia’s maritime territory and airspace are

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