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沙特阿拉伯军事行动针对也门on...?

沙特阿拉伯军事行动针对也门on...?Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

预测概率 81.0%24h 成交 $16.6K总成交 $914.6K选项 23结束 2026-11-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
10月6日October 681.0%$58
10月4日October 480.2%$0
10月11日October 1177.0%$0
10月18日October 1875.5%$494
10月8日October 875.0%$0
10月23日October 2372.0%$1.0K
10月25日October 2571.5%$1.5K
10月20日October 2070.5%$1.7K

规则说明

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact do

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