How low will 2-year国债收益率get——2027年前会发生吗？How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
各选项实时概率
| 选项 | 英文原名 | 概率 | 24h 成交 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below 4.60% | 75.0% | $727 | |
| Below 4.50% | 50.0% | $148 | |
| Below 4.40% | 29.5% | $268 | |
| Below 4.30% | 17.0% | $421 | |
| Below 4.20% | 16.5% | $365 | |
| Below 4.10% | 13.0% | $286 | |
| Below 4.00% | 9.3% | $592 | |
| Below 3.90% | 5.5% | $0 |
规则说明
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date from market creation to December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for the final business day of 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the final business day of 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "2 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
相关事件（经济）
美联储利率决议（10月） · 美联储利率决议（12月） · How low will 5-year国债收益率get——2027年前会发生吗？ · How many美联储降息——2026年会发生吗？ · 最大企业end of 2026年12月？ · 最大企业end of 2026年10月？ · Another Fed加息——2026年会发生吗？ · How high will 10-year国债收益率go——2027年前会发生吗？ · How low will 30-year国债收益率get——2027年前会发生吗？ · Fed决议(9月–12月)