法国defaults on debt——2027年12月31日前会发生吗?France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?
预测概率 6.5%24h 成交 $2.9K总成交 $4.3K选项 1结束 2028-01-01
各选项实时概率
选项
英文原名
概率
24h 成交
是
Yes
6.5%
$2.9K
否
No
93.5%
$2.9K
规则说明
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French government fails to make a scheduled payment on any French government note, bond, or bill at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any French sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the French Treasury (Agence France Trésor), Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.