P
Polymarket 中文市场预测工作台
以色列撤出from黎巴嫩by...?

以色列撤出from黎巴嫩by...?Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

预测概率 33.0%24h 成交 $48.4K总成交 $8.58M选项 4结束 2027-01-01

各选项实时概率

选项英文原名概率24h 成交
2027年12月31日December 31, 202733.0%$41.4K
2027年6月30日June 30, 202720.5%$0
2027年3月31日March 31, 202713.5%$290
12月31日December 313.4%$6.7K

规则说明

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

相关事件(地缘政治)

US-伊朗停火continues through...? · 以色列总理下一任选举之后? · 以色列x伊朗停火continues through...? · US-也门停火continues through...? · US宣布end的Iranian blockade by...? · 委内瑞拉leader end of 2026? · 霍尔木兹海峡的交通在12月31日之前恢复正常? · 北约x俄罗斯军方clash by...? · 霍尔木兹海峡通行恢复正常——10月31日前会发生吗? · Trump out as总统——2027年前会发生吗?

→ 查看地缘政治的全部事件

浏览更多事件

全部 · 政治 · 选举 · 经济 · 加密货币 · 科技 · 地缘政治 · 体育 · 文化娱乐 · 科学

→ 在工作台查看 以色列撤出from黎巴嫩by...? 的实时盘口与成交